SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | RFC Seraing | 9 | -10 | 6 |
| 17 | Zulte Waregem | 8 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Cercle Brugge | 8 | -10 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Mechelen | 8 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Sint-Truiden | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Westerlo | 8 | -3 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Zulte Waregem had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Zulte Waregem win it was 1-0 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zulte Waregem | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
25.01% ( -2.31) | 25.38% ( -0.74) | 49.6% ( 3.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.68% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.77% ( 1.32) | 52.23% ( -1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.07% ( 1.12) | 73.93% ( -1.12) |
| Zulte Waregem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.21% ( -1.22) | 35.79% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.43% ( -1.27) | 72.57% ( 1.27) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% ( 1.91) | 21.07% ( -1.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.12% ( 2.88) | 53.88% ( -2.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zulte Waregem | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.69) 2-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.39)2-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.5)3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.22)Other @ 1.94% Total : 25.01% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.34) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.4)2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.55)1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.41)0-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.54)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.25)0-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.3)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.47% Total : 49.6% |
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