Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
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0.02) 
