SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Standard Liege | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Zulte Waregem | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Kortrijk | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Westerlo | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Charleroi | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Leuven | 4 | -1 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Zulte Waregem had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Zulte Waregem win was 1-0 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zulte Waregem | Draw | Charleroi |
35.62% ( -0.05) | 26.97% | 37.41% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.99% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.74% ( -0.01) | 54.26% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.34% ( -0.01) | 75.65% ( 0.01) |
| Zulte Waregem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.87% ( -0.04) | 29.13% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.94% ( -0.05) | 65.05% ( 0.04) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% ( 0.02) | 28.05% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.29% ( 0.02) | 63.7% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zulte Waregem | Draw | Charleroi |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0)4-1 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.61% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 37.41% |
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