Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.
