Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
