Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 51.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 22.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Coritiba win it was 1-0 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
