Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 47.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
