Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 52.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.