Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 17.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.
