Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.