Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 15.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.