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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Jul 4, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Castelao

Ceara
2 - 0
Juventude

Saulo (48'), Lacerda (53')
Jael (76'), Buiu (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Castilho (64'), Pacheco (80')
Castilho (70')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 48.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
CearaDrawJuventude
48.5%26.82%24.69%
Both teams to score 46.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.2%57.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.47%78.54%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.09%23.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.88%58.13%
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.84%39.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.13%75.88%
Score Analysis
    Ceara 48.49%
    Juventude 24.69%
    Draw 26.82%
CearaDrawJuventude
1-0 @ 13.39%
2-0 @ 9.59%
2-1 @ 8.99%
3-0 @ 4.57%
3-1 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.64%
4-1 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 48.49%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 9.37%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 8.78%
1-2 @ 5.89%
0-2 @ 4.12%
1-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.32%
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 24.69%

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