Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 48.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.