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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 7
Jun 28, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Castelao
SP

Ceara
1 - 1
Sao Paulo

Jorginho (23')
Jorginho (26'), Saulo (45+1'), Lacerda (68'), Jael (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dias (53' og.)
Reinaldo (26'), Hernanes (28'), Eder (53'), Alves (76'), Benitez (77'), Juan (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Ceara win was 1-0 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
CearaDrawSao Paulo
34.83%28.8%36.37%
Both teams to score 45.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.84%61.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.89%81.11%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.89%33.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.29%69.7%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9%32.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42%68.57%
Score Analysis
    Ceara 34.82%
    Sao Paulo 36.36%
    Draw 28.79%
CearaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.74%
2-1 @ 7.38%
2-0 @ 6.49%
3-1 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 2.39%
3-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 34.82%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.79%
0-1 @ 12.07%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 6.86%
1-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 36.36%

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