Corinthians
1 - 2
Atletico Mineiro

Davo (6')
Roni (33'), Davo (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Arana (61'), Marrony (83')
Keno (31'), Leandro Bagy (42'), Jair (68'), Vargas (88'), Rever (90+5')

Data Analysis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
32.77%	26.73%	40.5%

Both teams to score 51.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.28%

53.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.8%

75.2%

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.31%

30.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.06%

66.94%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.93%

26.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.89%

61.11%

Score Analysis

Corinthians 32.77%

Atletico Mineiro 40.5%

Draw 26.73%

Corinthians	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 5.58% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.99% Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.77%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 8% 2-2 @ 5.05% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 7.23% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.27% Total : 40.5%