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Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Oct 22, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estádio São Januário
C

Vasco
1 - 2
Corinthians

Ribamar (73')
Castan (26')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mantuan (23'), Henrique (90' og.)
Ederson (45+1'), Cantillo (59')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Corinthians.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawCorinthians
33.02%29.08%37.9%
Both teams to score 44.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.75%62.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.08%81.92%
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.07%34.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.33%71.67%
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.3%31.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.88%68.12%
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 33.01%
    Corinthians 37.9%
    Draw 29.08%
Vasco da GamaDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 11.64%
2-1 @ 7.04%
2-0 @ 6.13%
3-1 @ 2.47%
3-0 @ 2.15%
3-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 33.01%
1-1 @ 13.38%
0-0 @ 11.07%
2-2 @ 4.04%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29.08%
0-1 @ 12.72%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-2 @ 7.31%
1-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 37.9%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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