Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.