SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cuiaba | Draw | Bahia |
| 39.11% | 27.98% | 32.91% |
| Both teams to score 47.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.56% | 58.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.96% | 79.04% |
| Cuiaba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.93% | 29.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.01% | 64.99% |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.41% | 69.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cuiaba | Draw | Bahia |
| 1-0 @ 11.85% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.03% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.65% Total : 39.11% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.6% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 10.63% 1-2 @ 7.28% 0-2 @ 5.9% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.56% Total : 32.9% |
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