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Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jul 25, 2021 at 3pm UK
Mineirão
B

Atletico Mineiro
3 - 0
Bahia

Hulk (58', 80' pen.), Nathan (90+1')
Dodo (54'), Mariano (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rossi (23')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 16.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawBahia
60.28%23.08%16.64%
Both teams to score 45.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.18%52.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56%74.44%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.83%17.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.58%47.42%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.04%44.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.1%80.9%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 60.28%
    Bahia 16.64%
    Draw 23.07%
Atletico MineiroDrawBahia
1-0 @ 13.6%
2-0 @ 11.98%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 7.04%
3-1 @ 5.63%
4-0 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 2.25%
5-0 @ 1.09%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 60.28%
1-1 @ 10.87%
0-0 @ 7.72%
2-2 @ 3.83%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 23.07%
0-1 @ 6.17%
1-2 @ 4.35%
0-2 @ 2.47%
1-3 @ 1.16%
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 16.64%

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