Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
