Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Sport Recife
43.27%	28.33%	28.4%

Both teams to score 44.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.04%

60.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.04%

80.96%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.04%

27.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.4%

63.59%

Sport Recife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.27%

37.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.5%

74.5%

Score Analysis

Bahia 43.27%

Sport Recife 28.4%

Draw 28.32%

Bahia	Draw	Sport Recife
1-0 @ 13.44% 2-0 @ 8.57% 2-1 @ 8.35% 3-0 @ 3.64% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.16% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.71% Total : 43.27%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.32%	0-1 @ 10.28% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.69% Total : 28.4%