Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
