Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
