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CL
Copa Sudamericana | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 29, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Dr. Nicolás Leoz
B

Libertad
1 - 3
Bragantino

Melgarejo (52')
Vangioni (11'), Bocanegra (38'), Barboza (78'), Viera (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cuello (9', 57'), Artur (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
Club LibertadDrawBragantino
35.66%25.85%38.49%
Both teams to score 54.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.42%49.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.39%71.6%
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15%26.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.84%62.15%
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.74%25.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.99%60.01%
Score Analysis
    Club Libertad 35.66%
    Bragantino 38.49%
    Draw 25.85%
Club LibertadDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 8.92%
2-1 @ 8.07%
2-0 @ 5.86%
3-1 @ 3.54%
3-0 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 35.66%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 6.78%
2-2 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 9.33%
1-2 @ 8.44%
0-2 @ 6.42%
1-3 @ 3.87%
0-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 38.49%

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