Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 60.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 15.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.41%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
