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Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jul 10, 2021 at 11pm UK
 
F

Sport
1 - 2
Fluminense

Andre (42' pen.)
Marcao (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lucca (67', 73')
Martins (81'), Muriel (82'), Martins Silva dos Santos (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 35.19%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.11%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 1-0 (12.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
Sport RecifeDrawFluminense
34.85%29.95%35.19%
Both teams to score 42.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.04%64.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.14%83.86%
Sport Recife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.89%35.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.14%71.85%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.12%34.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.39%71.61%
Score Analysis
    Sport Recife 34.85%
    Fluminense 35.18%
    Draw 29.95%
Sport RecifeDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 12.81%
2-1 @ 7.07%
2-0 @ 6.71%
3-1 @ 2.47%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 34.85%
1-1 @ 13.5%
0-0 @ 12.24%
2-2 @ 3.72%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.95%
0-1 @ 12.89%
1-2 @ 7.11%
0-2 @ 6.79%
1-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 35.18%

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