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F
Brasileiro | Gameweek 30
Jan 16, 2021 at 10pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Fluminense
1 - 0
Sport

Patric (49' og.)
Fred (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sander (58')
Tavares (40')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Sport Recife.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawSport Recife
51.11%27.15%21.74%
Both teams to score 42.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.84%61.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.89%81.11%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82%24.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.5%58.5%
Sport Recife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.03%43.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.9%80.1%
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 51.11%
    Sport Recife 21.74%
    Draw 27.14%
FluminenseDrawSport Recife
1-0 @ 15.09%
2-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 8.8%
3-0 @ 5.07%
3-1 @ 4.17%
4-0 @ 1.8%
3-2 @ 1.71%
4-1 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 51.11%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 3.62%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 8.74%
1-2 @ 5.1%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 0.99%
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 21.74%

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