Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
