SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Sport Recife |
| 40.13% | 27.81% | 32.06% |
| Both teams to score 47.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.02% | 57.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.32% | 78.67% |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% | 28.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.01% | 63.99% |
| Sport Recife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.65% | 33.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.02% | 69.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Corinthians | Draw | Sport Recife |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.77% Total : 40.13% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 10.35% 1-2 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 5.68% 1-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.06% |
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