Vasco
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Cano (62', 75')
Gomes (47'), Tenorio (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Reinaldo (90+7' pen.)
Gomes (27'), Liziero (36'), Pablo (38'), Reinaldo (69'), Arboleda (82')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Sao Paulo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Sao Paulo
38.29%	28.82%	32.88%

Both teams to score 45.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.59%

61.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.7%

81.29%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.97%

31.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.66%

67.34%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.42%

34.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.7%

71.29%

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 38.29%

Sao Paulo 32.88%

Draw 28.81%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.55% 2-1 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 7.35% 3-1 @ 3.04% 3-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.07% Total : 38.29%	1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.72% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.81%	0-1 @ 11.39% 1-2 @ 7.08% 0-2 @ 6.05% 1-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.24% Total : 32.88%