Off the back of three defeats in a row by a combined score of 6-1, Vitoria have it all to do here as they face off against the division's highest-scoring team. We are backing Flamengo to cruise to a routine win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Vitoria win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Vitoria	Draw	Flamengo
18.66% ( -0)	22.95% ( 0)	58.39% ( -0)

Both teams to score 49.65% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.65% (

-0.02)

49.35% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.6% (

-0.02)

71.4% (

0.02)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.54% (

-0.02)

40.46% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.93% (

-0.02)

77.07% (

0.02)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.4% (

-0.01)

16.6% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.59% (

-0.02)

46.41% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Vitoria 18.66%

Flamengo 58.39%

Draw 22.95%

Vitoria	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.75% 3-1 @ 1.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 18.66%	1-1 @ 10.91% 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 22.95%	0-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.83% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 5.87% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.91% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.63% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.05% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.97% Total : 58.39%