Flamengo are the more in-form side heading into this one and will back themselves to come away with maximum points. However, we can see Atletico Mineiro battling hard to force a share of the spoils in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
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