Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.