SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | FC Koln |
| 31.22% | 24.84% | 43.94% |
| Both teams to score 56.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.78% | 46.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.48% | 68.52% |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% | 27.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.39% | 63.61% |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% | 21.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.09% | 53.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | FC Koln |
| 1-0 @ 7.51% 2-1 @ 7.45% 2-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.22% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 5.9% 2-2 @ 5.8% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 9.18% 1-2 @ 9.1% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 4.72% 0-3 @ 3.71% 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.62% Total : 43.94% |
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