Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.