Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 53.36%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 23.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Augsburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Augsburg.