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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 12, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
 
UB

Greuther Furth
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Nielsen (56')
Seguin (33'), Bauer (69'), Leweling (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

We said: Greuther Furth 0-2 Union Berlin

It has not been a welcome return to the top flight for Greuther Furth, who find themselves rooted to the bottom of the table after a string of disappointing results. Union Berlin, in contrast, could move into the Champions League qualification places with all three points after a solid campaign so far. We are tipping the visitors to claim all three points and heap more misery on the floundering host. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Greuther FurthDrawUnion Berlin
30.12%24.27%45.61%
Both teams to score 58.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.84%44.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.46%66.54%
Greuther Furth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.33%27.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77%63.23%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.49%19.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.61%51.39%
Score Analysis
    Greuther Furth 30.12%
    Union Berlin 45.61%
    Draw 24.27%
Greuther FurthDrawUnion Berlin
2-1 @ 7.28%
1-0 @ 6.94%
2-0 @ 4.46%
3-1 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 2.55%
3-0 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 30.12%
1-1 @ 11.33%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 9.26%
0-1 @ 8.82%
0-2 @ 7.21%
1-3 @ 5.05%
0-3 @ 3.93%
2-3 @ 3.24%
1-4 @ 2.06%
0-4 @ 1.61%
2-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 45.61%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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