Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
