Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.