Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 68.98%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 13.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 3-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
