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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
May 17, 2020 at 5pm UK
An der alten Forsterei
BL

Union Berlin
0 - 2
Bayern


Lenz (12'), Schlotterbeck (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lewandowski (40' pen.), Pavard (80')
Davies (37')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 77.12%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 9.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.77%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.94%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBayern Munich
9.31%13.58%77.12%
Both teams to score 57.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.33%26.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.92%47.08%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.77%39.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.06%75.93%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.38%5.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.19%21.81%
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 9.31%
    Bayern Munich 77.12%
    Draw 13.58%
Union BerlinDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 2.78%
1-0 @ 2.06%
3-2 @ 1.25%
2-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 9.31%
1-1 @ 5.94%
2-2 @ 4%
0-0 @ 2.21%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 13.58%
0-2 @ 9.14%
0-3 @ 8.77%
1-2 @ 8.55%
1-3 @ 8.21%
0-1 @ 6.35%
0-4 @ 6.32%
1-4 @ 5.91%
2-3 @ 3.84%
0-5 @ 3.64%
1-5 @ 3.4%
2-4 @ 2.77%
0-6 @ 1.75%
1-6 @ 1.63%
2-5 @ 1.59%
Other @ 5.24%
Total : 77.12%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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