Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.66%) and 0-1 (6.6%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
