SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esperance Tunis win with a probability of 80.48%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Sagrada Esperança had a probability of 4.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Esperance Tunis win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.71%) and 3-0 (13.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.88%), while for a Sagrada Esperança win it was 0-1 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Esperance Tunis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Esperance Tunis | Draw | Sagrada Esperança |
80.48% ( -1.87) | 14.59% ( 1.19) | 4.93% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 29.19% ( 1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.04% ( -1.8) | 49.95% ( 1.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.06% ( -1.63) | 71.94% ( 1.63) |
| Esperance Tunis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.8% ( -0.94) | 10.2% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.51% ( -2.18) | 33.49% ( 2.18) |
| Sagrada Esperança Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 32.51% ( 1.52) | 67.49% ( -1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 5.97% ( 0.58) | 94.03% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Esperance Tunis | Draw | Sagrada Esperança |
| 2-0 @ 17.93% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 15.71% ( 0.5)3-0 @ 13.64% ( -0.7)4-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.74)2-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.5)4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.11)6-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.55% Total : 80.46% | 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.49) 1-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.54)2-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.15% Total : 14.59% | 0-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.17)Other @ 1% Total : 4.93% |
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