Although Midtjylland have the greater Champions League experience, they have failed to win any of their last six matches in the competition, and we think that Larnaca will utilise home advantage to advance to the third-round of qualifying. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 54.25%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 23.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%).

Result
AEK Larnaca	Draw	FC Midtjylland
23.02% ( 0.02)	22.73% ( 0.02)	54.25% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 56.95% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.13% (

-0.05)

42.87% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.72% (

-0.05)

65.28% (

0.05)

AEK Larnaca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.59% (

-0.01)

32.41% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.07% (

-0.01)

68.93% (

0.01)

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.26% (

-0.03)

15.74% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.15% (

-0.06)

44.85% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

AEK Larnaca 23.02%

FC Midtjylland 54.25%

Draw 22.72%

AEK Larnaca	Draw	FC Midtjylland
2-1 @ 5.99% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 23.02%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.72%	1-2 @ 9.83% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.72% 1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.37% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.48% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 54.25%