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Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 26, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
AEK Arena - George Karapatakis
M

Larnaca
1 - 1
Midtjylland

Midtjylland win 4-3 on penalties
Olatunji (9')
Rosales (77'), Gama (100')
FT
(aet)
Dalsgaard (12')
Onyedika (59'), Juninho (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Midtjylland 1-1 Larnaca
Tuesday, July 19 at 6.45pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We say: AEK Larnaca 1-0 FC Midtjylland

Although Midtjylland have the greater Champions League experience, they have failed to win any of their last six matches in the competition, and we think that Larnaca will utilise home advantage to advance to the third-round of qualifying. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 54.25%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 23.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%).

Result
AEK LarnacaDrawFC Midtjylland
23.02% (0.023 0.02) 22.73% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 54.25% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.95% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.13% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)42.87% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.72% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)65.28% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.41% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)68.93% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.26% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)15.74% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.15% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)44.85% (0.058 0.06)
Score Analysis
    AEK Larnaca 23.02%
    FC Midtjylland 54.25%
    Draw 22.72%
AEK LarnacaDrawFC Midtjylland
2-1 @ 5.99% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 5.75% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.24% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.25% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 23.02%
1-1 @ 10.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.72%
1-2 @ 9.83% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 9.43% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.72%
1-3 @ 6.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.8% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 54.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Midtjylland 1-1 Larnaca
Tuesday, July 19 at 6.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Gent 3-0 Larnaca
Thursday, August 15 at 7.30pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Larnaca 1-1 Gent
Thursday, August 8 at 4.30pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Levski Sofia 0-4 Larnaca
Thursday, August 1 at 5.30pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Larnaca 3-0 Levski Sofia
Thursday, July 25 at 4.30pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Petrocub 0-1 Larnaca
Thursday, July 18 at 6pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Midtjylland 1-3 Silkeborg
Friday, July 22 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 1-1 Larnaca
Tuesday, July 19 at 6.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Midtjylland 1-1 Randers
Friday, July 15 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 3-2 Randers
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Silkeborg 1-4 Midtjylland
Monday, May 16 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 2-2 Brondby
Thursday, May 12 at 7pm in Danish Superliga


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