Larnaca's pre-season period was characterised by defensive deficiencies countering their attacking prowess, which should therefore make for an entertaining first-leg battle this week.
Midtjylland are far more experienced at the top level of European football, and even though off-field issues surrounding Sisto are bedevilling them somewhat, the Danish side should put one foot firmly in the third round this week.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 13.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.98%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for an AEK Larnaca win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
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