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Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
RB

Atletico
3 - 2
Salzburg

Llorente (29'), Felix (52', 85')
Llorente (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Szoboszlai (40'), Berisha (47')
Ramalho (13'), Wober (23')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 15.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.37%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Red Bull Salzburg win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawRed Bull Salzburg
60.11%24.74%15.15%
Both teams to score 38.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.27%60.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.21%80.79%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79%20.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.48%52.52%
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.24%51.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.16%85.84%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 60.11%
    Red Bull Salzburg 15.15%
    Draw 24.72%
Atletico MadridDrawRed Bull Salzburg
1-0 @ 16.72%
2-0 @ 13.37%
2-1 @ 8.81%
3-0 @ 7.13%
3-1 @ 4.7%
4-0 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 1.88%
3-2 @ 1.55%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 60.11%
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 10.45%
2-2 @ 2.9%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 6.89%
1-2 @ 3.63%
0-2 @ 2.27%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 15.15%


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