Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 14.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.83%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.