Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Brest win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Sarajevo had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Sarajevo win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Brest would win this match.