Lazio
3 - 1
Zenit

Immobile (3', 55' pen.), Parolo (22')
Acerbi (89')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Dzyuba (25')
Barrios (38'), Lovren (48'), Rakitskiy (76')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Lazio and Zenit St Petersburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Zenit St Petersburg had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
42.89%	26.61%	30.5%

Both teams to score 50.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.1%

53.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.64%

75.36%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.1%

24.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.48%

59.52%

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.65%

32.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.14%

68.86%

Score Analysis

Lazio 42.88%

Zenit St Petersburg 30.5%

Draw 26.6%

Lazio	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
1-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.48% Total : 42.88%	1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 8.06% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.6%	0-1 @ 9.09% 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 5.13% 1-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.67% Total : 30.5%