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TL
Serie A | Gameweek 6
Nov 1, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
LL

Torino
3 - 4
Lazio

Bremer (19'), Belotti (24' pen.), Lukic (87')
N'Koulou (90+5'), Rincon (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pereira (15'), Milinkovic-Savic (49'), Immobile (90+5' pen.), Caicedo (90+8')
Pereira (44'), Hoedt (86'), Immobile (88'), Caicedo (90+9')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Torino had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawLazio
27.31%24.2%48.48%
Both teams to score 56.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.42%45.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.1%67.9%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62%30.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.42%66.58%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11%18.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.63%50.37%
Score Analysis
    Torino 27.31%
    Lazio 48.48%
    Draw 24.2%
TorinoDrawLazio
1-0 @ 6.84%
2-1 @ 6.79%
2-0 @ 4.07%
3-1 @ 2.7%
3-2 @ 2.25%
3-0 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 27.31%
1-1 @ 11.39%
0-0 @ 5.74%
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.2%
0-1 @ 9.56%
1-2 @ 9.5%
0-2 @ 7.97%
1-3 @ 5.28%
0-3 @ 4.43%
2-3 @ 3.14%
1-4 @ 2.2%
0-4 @ 1.85%
2-4 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 48.48%


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