Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Dinamo Batumi had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Dinamo Batumi win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
