Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.