Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.