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Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2023 at 6pm UK
Epet Arena
FC

Sparta Prague
3 - 3
Copenhagen

Copenhagen win 4-2 on penalties
Birmancevic (80'), Laci (105'), Olatunji (107')
Wiesner (48'), Birmancevic (54'), Sorensen (68')
FT
(aet)
Larsson (1'), Claesson (105+3', 112')
Falk (36'), Elyounoussi (42'), Achouri (114')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Copenhagen 2-1 Odense
Friday, August 11 at 6pm in Danish Superliga

We say: Sparta Prague 1-1 Copenhagen (a.e.t, Sparta to win on penalties)

Sparta's dogged defensive display in the first leg was all well and good, but the Czech champions will likely have to show more attacking intent if they are to keep their European dream alive, which could leave them susceptible to a goal-happy Copenhagen. While we feel that there will be a couple of goals in this contest, it is still too difficult to pick an outright winner, but with the Prague crowd behind them, Sparta can progress from 12 yards to move one step closer to the group phase. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Copenhagen had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Copenhagen win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%).

Result
Sparta PragueDrawCopenhagen
39.8% (0.268 0.27) 24.89% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 35.31% (-0.347 -0.35)
Both teams to score 57.97% (-0.335 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.68% (-0.41 -0.41)45.31% (0.408 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.34% (-0.395 -0.39)67.65% (0.39200000000001 0.39)
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)22.66% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.7% (-0.07 -0.07)56.3% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Copenhagen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-0.387 -0.39)25.05% (0.385 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28% (-0.538 -0.54)59.72% (0.536 0.54)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Prague 39.8%
    Copenhagen 35.31%
    Draw 24.89%
Sparta PragueDrawCopenhagen
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.43% (0.135 0.14)
2-0 @ 6.25% (0.092 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 39.8%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.89%
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.86% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.51% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 35.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Jablonec 1-5 Sparta Prague
Saturday, August 12 at 5pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Copenhagen 0-0 Sparta Prague
Tuesday, August 8 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sparta Prague 5-2 Pardubice
Saturday, August 5 at 2pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Zlin 0-1 Sparta Prague
Saturday, July 29 at 2pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 2-0 Olomouc
Sunday, July 23 at 5pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Viking FK 2-1 Sparta Prague
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Copenhagen 2-1 Odense
Friday, August 11 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 0-0 Sparta Prague
Tuesday, August 8 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Copenhagen 4-0 Randers
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 6-3 Breidablik
Wednesday, August 2 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Vejle 2-3 Copenhagen
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Breidablik 0-2 Copenhagen
Tuesday, July 25 at 8.15pm in Champions League


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